Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Chat model

Gemma 4 31B

reasoning off · 1 question per request

66.8% of the 2,198 questions right (64.8% to 68.7%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

We also ran this setup at 16 questions per request: Gemma 4 31B · reasoning off · 16 questions per request.

How we called it

Kind
Chat model
Access
vLLM, self-hosted, FP8
Paid as
Our own hardware
Model ID
gemma-4-31B-it
Parameters
31.3B
Hardware
1 × RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell (96 GB); FP8 weights and KV cache
Confidence from
Answer letter probability
Run
189, 13 October 2026

Settings

Reasoning
off
Request format
1 question per request
Requests at once
1
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
385f57507b2a
Prompt version
254597b8be16

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions66.8%64.8% to 68.7%1,468 of 2,198
Reading89.0%86.4% to 91.2%584 of 656
Grammar57.3%54.8% to 59.8%884 of 1,542

Comparison group: pqrs. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading86.3%113 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading91.6%141 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading87.1%61 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading95.9%94 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading79.2%84 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading93.8%91 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar65.0%91 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar52.3%34 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar65.9%60 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar62.5%45 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar60.8%48 of 79
How words are builtGrammar47.8%33 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar48.3%70 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar64.9%48 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar50.6%43 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar40.0%88 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar41.6%32 of 77
SpellingGrammar69.9%93 of 133
PunctuationGrammar63.2%74 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar71.4%125 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
1,826, of which 487 wrong (share right: 71.3% to 75.3%, 95% interval); 372 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
31.2 points
AUROC, all questions
0.82 0.80 to 0.84
AUROC, reading
0.88 0.84 to 0.92
AUROC, grammar
0.75 0.73 to 0.78
Brier score
0.309
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 97.3% right; most confident half: 89.4% right; most confident four fifths: 74.7% right
Typical score of a right answer
100.0%
Typical score of a wrong answer
99.8%

Repeats

We did not repeat this setup.

Latency

Latency, median request
0.298 s (this run)
Latency, 90th percentile
0.306 s
Requests at once
1
Throughput
195.5 questions per minute of request time
Request time
11.2 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
Not measured
Basis
No dollar estimate; see hardware and time
Input tokens per question
318
Output tokens per question
11