Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Decision model

Strands Decider 2B

1 question per request

27.5% of the 2,198 questions right (25.7% to 29.4%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

How we called it

Kind
Decision model
Access
Strands Decider server, self-hosted
Paid as
Our own hardware
Model ID
strands-decider-2b
Parameters
2.3B
Hardware
1 × RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell (96 GB); BF16
Note
Amazon's decision model: a LoRA adapter and a decision head on Qwen3.5-2B-Base
Confidence from
Option score
Run
141, 7 October 2026

Settings

Reasoning
off
Request format
1 question per request
Requests at once
1
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
not recorded
Prompt version
not recorded

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions27.5%25.7% to 29.4%604 of 2,198
Reading36.9%33.3% to 40.6%242 of 656
Grammar23.5%21.4% to 25.7%362 of 1,542

Comparison group: G. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading32.1%42 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading46.1%71 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading32.9%23 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading60.2%59 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading33.0%35 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading12.4%12 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar25.0%35 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar23.1%15 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar31.9%29 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar23.6%17 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar24.1%19 of 79
How words are builtGrammar14.5%10 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar17.9%26 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar20.3%15 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar20.0%17 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar22.3%49 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar19.5%15 of 77
SpellingGrammar26.3%35 of 133
PunctuationGrammar24.8%29 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar29.1%51 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
0, of which 0 wrong; 2,198 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
12.2 points
AUROC, all questions
0.65 0.62 to 0.67
AUROC, reading
0.74 0.70 to 0.78
AUROC, grammar
0.57 0.54 to 0.61
Brier score
0.198
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 48.7% right; most confident half: 35.9% right; most confident four fifths: 29.4% right
Typical score of a right answer
40.6%
Typical score of a wrong answer
33.5%

Repeats

We did not repeat this setup.

Latency

Latency, median request
0.026 s (this run)
Latency, 90th percentile
0.030 s
Requests at once
1
Throughput
2062.5 questions per minute of request time
Request time
1.1 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
Not measured
Basis
No dollar estimate; see hardware and time
Input tokens per question
359
Output tokens per question
1

Going first in front of an LLM

Replay of recorded answers, cutoff chosen on half the questions, averaged over the splits. Savings are estimates from API prices; the Method page explains how.

LLM behind itShare takenAccuracy changeSaving
Gemini 3.8 Flashhigh reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
GPT-6 Astrahigh reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
GPT-6.1 Solhigh reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
GPT-6 Astralow reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
GPT-6 Astralow reasoning · 1 question per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
Gemini 3.8 Flashlow reasoning · 1 question per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
GPT-6.1 Sollow reasoning · 1 question per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
GPT-6.1 Sollow reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
Claude Opus 5.5high reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
GPT-6.1 Terrahigh reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
Claude Opus 5.5low reasoning · 1 question per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
Gemini 3.8 Flashlow reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
GPT-6.1 Terralow reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
Claude Opus 5.5low reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
Claude Sonnet 5.5high reasoning · 1 question per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†
Claude Sonnet 5.5high reasoning · 16 questions per request0.8%−0.09 points1%†

† Leaves out the first model’s hardware cost, which we have not estimated.