Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Chat model

Gemini 3.8 Flash

low reasoning · 1 question per request

97.1% of the 2,198 questions right (96.3% to 97.8%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

We also ran this setup at 16 questions per request: Gemini 3.8 Flash · low reasoning · 16 questions per request.

Which decision model can go first in front of it? See the Routing tab.

How we called it

Kind
Chat model
Access
Gemini API
Paid as
Provider service
Model ID
gemini-3.8-flash
Confidence from
Written estimate
Run
188, 13 October 2026

Settings

Reasoning
low
Request format
1 question per request
Requests at once
1
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
54043fd92cd5
Prompt version
254597b8be16

Thinking levels (Google's thinking documentation, read 28 October 2026): low, medium (default), high. Top level: high. This run: low.

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions97.1%96.3% to 97.8%2,135 of 2,198
Reading96.2%94.4% to 97.4%631 of 656
Grammar97.5%96.6% to 98.2%1,504 of 1,542

Comparison group: abcd. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading96.2%126 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading98.7%152 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading91.4%64 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading98.0%96 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading92.5%98 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading97.9%95 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar97.9%137 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar98.5%64 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar100.0%91 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar98.6%71 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar96.2%76 of 79
How words are builtGrammar95.7%66 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar97.9%142 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar100.0%74 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar97.6%83 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar97.7%215 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar96.1%74 of 77
SpellingGrammar97.7%130 of 133
PunctuationGrammar95.7%112 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar96.6%169 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
1,365, of which 6 wrong (share right: 99.0% to 99.8%, 95% interval); 833 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
0.6 points
AUROC, all questions
0.84 0.79 to 0.89
AUROC, reading
0.89 0.84 to 0.94
AUROC, grammar
0.81 0.74 to 0.87
Brier score
0.024
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 99.6% right; most confident half: 99.6% right; most confident four fifths: 98.8% right
Typical score of a right answer
100.0%
Typical score of a wrong answer
95.0%

Repeats

We did not repeat this setup.

Latency

Latency, median request
2.72 s (this run)
Latency, 90th percentile
4.67 s
Requests at once
1
Throughput
19.1 questions per minute of request time
Request time
114.9 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
$0.96
Whole run
$2.12
Basis
Estimated from published prices and recorded token usage
Price
$0.75 input, $0.075 cached input, $3.75 output per 1M tokens (source, 2026-10-08)
Input tokens per question
310
Output tokens per question
195