Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Chat model

Gemini 4 Argon

low reasoning · 16 questions per request

96.4% of the 2,198 questions right (95.5% to 97.1%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

How we called it

Kind
Chat model
Access
Gemini API
Paid as
Provider service
Model ID
gemini-4-argon
Confidence from
Written estimate
Run
557, 3 November 2026

Settings

Reasoning
low
Request format
16 questions per request
Requests at once
1
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
ecf1af0326be
Prompt version
254597b8be16

Thinking levels (Google's thinking documentation, read 28 October 2026): low, medium (default), high. Top level: high. This run: low.

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions96.4%95.5% to 97.1%2,118 of 2,198
Reading97.0%95.3% to 98.0%636 of 656
Grammar96.1%95.0% to 97.0%1,482 of 1,542

Comparison group: cde. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading96.9%127 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading100.0%154 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading90.0%63 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading99.0%97 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading96.2%102 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading95.9%93 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar96.4%135 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar98.5%64 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar100.0%91 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar98.6%71 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar94.9%75 of 79
How words are builtGrammar95.7%66 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar95.9%139 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar98.6%73 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar96.5%82 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar91.8%202 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar94.8%73 of 77
SpellingGrammar98.5%131 of 133
PunctuationGrammar95.7%112 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar96.0%168 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
1,842, of which 23 wrong (share right: 98.1% to 99.2%, 95% interval); 356 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
2.2 points
AUROC, all questions
0.86 0.81 to 0.89
AUROC, reading
0.96 0.94 to 0.98
AUROC, grammar
0.84 0.80 to 0.88
Brier score
0.032
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 99.9% right; most confident half: 99.3% right; most confident four fifths: 98.8% right
Typical score of a right answer
99.0%
Typical score of a wrong answer
95.0%

Repeats

We did not repeat this setup.

Latency

Latency, median request
5.46 s (this run)
Latency, 90th percentile
7.91 s
Requests at once
1
Throughput
152.3 questions per minute of request time
Request time
14.4 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
$1.79
Whole run
$3.93
Basis
Estimated from published prices and recorded token usage
Price
$4 input, $0.20 cached input, $20 output per 1M tokens (source, 2026-10-28)
Input tokens per question
349
Output tokens per question
19