Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Chat model

Qwen3.8-27B

stated confidence · reasoning off · 1 question per request

54.2% of the 2,198 questions right (52.1% to 56.3%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

How we called it

Kind
Chat model
Access
vLLM, self-hosted, BF16
Paid as
Our own hardware
Model ID
qwen38-27b-bf16
Variant
stated confidence
Parameters
27.8B
Hardware
1 × RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell (96 GB); BF16
Note
Open-Jev's base model
Confidence from
Written estimate
Run
53, 4 October 2026

Settings

Reasoning
off
Request format
1 question per request
Requests at once
1
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
not recorded
Prompt version
not recorded

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions54.2%52.1% to 56.3%1,191 of 2,198
Reading83.4%80.3% to 86.0%547 of 656
Grammar41.8%39.3% to 44.2%644 of 1,542

Comparison group: BC. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading77.9%102 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading86.4%133 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading74.3%52 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading92.9%91 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading74.5%79 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading92.8%90 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar39.3%55 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar33.8%22 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar45.1%41 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar38.9%28 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar49.4%39 of 79
How words are builtGrammar27.5%19 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar42.8%62 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar45.9%34 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar41.2%35 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar23.6%52 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar37.7%29 of 77
SpellingGrammar48.1%64 of 133
PunctuationGrammar50.4%59 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar60.0%105 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
8, of which 1 wrong (share right: 52.9% to 97.8%, 95% interval); 2,190 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
40.8 points
AUROC, all questions
0.51 0.51 to 0.52
AUROC, reading
0.54 0.52 to 0.56
AUROC, grammar
0.50 0.50 to 0.51
Brier score
0.415
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 57.0% right; most confident half: 54.9% right; most confident four fifths: 54.4% right
Typical score of a right answer
95.0%
Typical score of a wrong answer
95.0%

Repeats

Run 5 times on all questions.

Answers changed in 5 runs
44 of 2,198
Same wrong answer in all 5
975 of 2,198
Wrong in at least one run
1,019 of 2,198
Accuracy in each run
54.2%, 54.3%, 54.3%, 54.3%, 54.3%

Latency

Latency, median request
0.433 s (its repeated runs)
Latency, 90th percentile
0.475 s
Requests at once
1
Throughput
147.0 questions per minute of request time
Request time
15.0 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
$0.23
Whole run
$0.52
Basis
Estimated at Alibaba's list price for the same model; our hardware cost is not measured.
Price
$0.50 input, $0.10 cached input, $3 output per 1M tokens (source, 2026-10-18)
Input tokens per question
336
Output tokens per question
22