Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Chat model

Kimi K3.1 Pro

low reasoning · 16 questions per request

82.8% of the 2,198 questions right (81.1% to 84.3%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

How we called it

Kind
Chat model
Access
OpenRouter chat API, Moonshot AI's endpoint (mxfp4), fallbacks off
Paid as
Provider service
Model ID
moonshotai/kimi-k3.1-pro
Confidence from
Written estimate
Run
320, 29 October 2026

Settings

Reasoning
low
Request format
16 questions per request
Requests at once
4
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
6cda04f8a3a7
Prompt version
254597b8be16

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions82.8%81.1% to 84.3%1,819 of 2,198
Reading93.8%91.6% to 95.4%615 of 656
Grammar78.1%75.9% to 80.1%1,204 of 1,542

Comparison group: l. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading91.6%120 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading98.7%152 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading81.4%57 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading98.0%96 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading90.6%96 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading96.9%94 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar82.9%116 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar84.6%55 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar86.8%79 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar93.1%67 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar81.0%64 of 79
How words are builtGrammar73.9%51 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar80.0%116 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar83.8%62 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar81.2%69 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar67.3%148 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar51.9%40 of 77
SpellingGrammar77.4%103 of 133
PunctuationGrammar71.8%84 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar85.7%150 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
1,436, of which 114 wrong (share right: 90.5% to 93.3%, 95% interval); 762 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
12.6 points
AUROC, all questions
0.75 0.72 to 0.78
AUROC, reading
0.82 0.75 to 0.89
AUROC, grammar
0.73 0.70 to 0.76
Brier score
0.141
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 92.7% right; most confident half: 92.2% right; most confident four fifths: 89.4% right
Typical score of a right answer
99.0%
Typical score of a wrong answer
97.0%

Repeats

We did not repeat this setup.

Latency

Latency, median request
44.9 s (this run)
Latency, 90th percentile
144.5 s
Requests at once
4
Throughput
60.0 questions per minute of request time
Request time
36.6 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
$2.05
Whole run
$4.50
Basis
Estimated from published prices and recorded token usage
Price
$2 input, $0.20 cached input, $10 output per 1M tokens (source, 2026-10-28)
Input tokens per question
359
Output tokens per question
134