Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Chat model

Kimi K3.1 Pro

reasoning none · 16 questions per request

72.7% of the 2,198 questions right (70.8% to 74.5%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

How we called it

Kind
Chat model
Access
OpenRouter chat API, Moonshot AI's endpoint (mxfp4), fallbacks off
Paid as
Provider service
Model ID
moonshotai/kimi-k3.1-pro
Confidence from
Written estimate
Run
315, 28 October 2026

Settings

Reasoning
none
Request format
16 questions per request
Requests at once
4
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
001ce5b42634
Prompt version
254597b8be16

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions72.7%70.8% to 74.5%1,598 of 2,198
Reading92.5%90.3% to 94.3%607 of 656
Grammar64.3%61.8% to 66.6%991 of 1,542

Comparison group: o. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading90.8%119 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading96.1%148 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading82.9%58 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading98.0%96 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading85.8%91 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading97.9%95 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar67.1%94 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar55.4%36 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar75.8%69 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar70.8%51 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar64.6%51 of 79
How words are builtGrammar50.7%35 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar61.4%89 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar82.4%61 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar68.2%58 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar50.5%111 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar31.2%24 of 77
SpellingGrammar72.9%97 of 133
PunctuationGrammar65.0%76 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar79.4%139 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
442, of which 36 wrong (share right: 88.9% to 94.1%, 95% interval); 1,756 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
20.1 points
AUROC, all questions
0.73 0.71 to 0.75
AUROC, reading
0.77 0.70 to 0.85
AUROC, grammar
0.68 0.65 to 0.70
Brier score
0.221
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 91.9% right; most confident half: 85.3% right; most confident four fifths: 79.6% right
Typical score of a right answer
97.0%
Typical score of a wrong answer
90.0%

Repeats

We did not repeat this setup.

Latency

Latency, median request
5.75 s (this run)
Latency, 90th percentile
7.65 s
Requests at once
4
Throughput
625.6 questions per minute of request time
Request time
3.5 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
$0.85
Whole run
$1.88
Basis
Estimated from published prices and recorded token usage
Price
$2 input, $0.20 cached input, $10 output per 1M tokens (source, 2026-10-28)
Input tokens per question
354
Output tokens per question
14