Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Chat model

Erk-14B

reasoning off · 16 questions per request

45.0% of the 2,198 questions right (42.9% to 47.1%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

How we called it

Kind
Chat model
Access
vLLM, self-hosted, BF16
Paid as
Our own hardware
Model ID
erk-14b
Parameters
14.8B
Hardware
1 × RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell (96 GB); BF16
Note
Qwen3-14B with continued Turkish training (eCloud)
Confidence from
Answer letter probability
Run
132, 6 October 2026

Settings

Reasoning
off
Request format
16 questions per request
Requests at once
1
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
not recorded
Prompt version
not recorded

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions45.0%42.9% to 47.1%989 of 2,198
Reading72.3%68.7% to 75.5%474 of 656
Grammar33.4%31.1% to 35.8%515 of 1,542

Comparison group: EF. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading64.1%84 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading74.0%114 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading65.7%46 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading90.8%89 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading60.4%64 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading79.4%77 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar32.1%45 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar30.8%20 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar29.7%27 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar38.9%28 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar38.0%30 of 79
How words are builtGrammar23.2%16 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar26.2%38 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar28.4%21 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar29.4%25 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar27.3%60 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar26.0%20 of 77
SpellingGrammar36.1%48 of 133
PunctuationGrammar34.2%40 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar55.4%97 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
101, of which 5 wrong (share right: 88.9% to 97.9%, 95% interval); 2,097 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
13.5 points
AUROC, all questions
0.75 0.73 to 0.78
AUROC, reading
0.83 0.80 to 0.86
AUROC, grammar
0.64 0.61 to 0.67
Brier score
0.214
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 84.3% right; most confident half: 63.4% right; most confident four fifths: 50.1% right
Typical score of a right answer
75.1%
Typical score of a wrong answer
43.2%

Repeats

We did not repeat this setup.

Latency

Latency, median request
2.39 s (this run)
Latency, 90th percentile
2.66 s
Requests at once
1
Throughput
392.7 questions per minute of request time
Request time
5.6 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
Not measured
Basis
No dollar estimate; see hardware and time
Input tokens per question
253
Output tokens per question
7