Hilde · Decision models · answer key v2

Chat model

Qwen3-14B

reasoning off · 16 questions per request

45.7% of the 2,198 questions right (43.6% to 47.8%, 95% interval). Back to the leaderboard.

How we called it

Kind
Chat model
Access
vLLM, self-hosted, BF16
Paid as
Our own hardware
Model ID
qwen3-14b
Parameters
14.8B
Hardware
1 × RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell (96 GB); BF16
Note
Erk-14B's base model
Confidence from
Answer letter probability
Run
131, 6 October 2026

Settings

Reasoning
off
Request format
16 questions per request
Requests at once
1
Temperature
not recorded
Harness seed
0
Harness commit
not recorded
Prompt version
not recorded

Results

QuestionsAccuracy95% intervalRight
All questions45.7%43.6% to 47.8%1,005 of 2,198
Reading72.1%68.6% to 75.4%473 of 656
Grammar34.5%32.2% to 36.9%532 of 1,542

Comparison group: E. Compare with another setup.

Accuracy by topic
TopicPartAccuracyRight
Word and phrase meaningsReading61.1%80 of 131
Sentence meaningsReading74.7%115 of 154
How a writer explains and develops ideasReading65.7%46 of 70
Topic and main point of a paragraphReading85.7%84 of 98
How a paragraph fits togetherReading67.9%72 of 106
Details that support a paragraph’s main pointReading78.4%76 of 97
Word types, such as nouns and verbsGrammar32.1%45 of 140
Groups of words built around a nounGrammar29.2%19 of 65
Verbs and their formsGrammar29.7%27 of 91
Verb forms used like nouns or modifiersGrammar33.3%24 of 72
Word endings and what they doGrammar30.4%24 of 79
How words are builtGrammar36.2%25 of 69
The roles of words and phrases in a sentenceGrammar25.5%37 of 145
How verbs show who acts and who receives the actionGrammar33.8%25 of 74
Types of sentencesGrammar31.8%27 of 85
Questions combining several grammar topicsGrammar27.7%61 of 220
Sound patterns and changesGrammar31.2%24 of 77
SpellingGrammar37.6%50 of 133
PunctuationGrammar45.3%53 of 117
Problems in sentence wordingGrammar52.0%91 of 175

Confidence

Answers kept at 99% or more
975, of which 342 wrong (share right: 61.9% to 67.9%, 95% interval); 1,223 skipped, the model less than 99% sure
Calibration gap
41.0 points
AUROC, all questions
0.73 0.71 to 0.75
AUROC, reading
0.81 0.77 to 0.84
AUROC, grammar
0.62 0.59 to 0.65
Brier score
0.400
Accuracy of its surest answers
most confident fifth: 86.8% right; most confident half: 62.3% right; most confident four fifths: 50.7% right
Typical score of a right answer
100.0%
Typical score of a wrong answer
90.0%

Repeats

We did not repeat this setup.

Latency

Latency, median request
2.85 s (this run)
Latency, 90th percentile
3.11 s
Requests at once
1
Throughput
331.1 questions per minute of request time
Request time
6.6 minutes, over the requests whose answers were kept

Latency: the time from sending one request to receiving its answer, measured from our computer, network and any retries within the request included. Request time: the time at least one request was in flight, over the requests whose answers were kept. It is not the run's elapsed time: it leaves out requests that failed and any pause before a run was resumed.

Cost

$ per 1,000 questions
Not measured
Basis
No dollar estimate; see hardware and time
Input tokens per question
253
Output tokens per question
8